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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

ISBN 13: 9780141034591

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‘He leaps like some superhero of the mind’ Boyd Tonkin, Independent

Why should you never read a newspaper? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And what do the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet all have in common? Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s answer to all of these questions is the same: Black Swans.

Black Swans are the random, unpredictable events that shape our lives — from publishing phenomena to global catastrophes. Enormous in their impact and impossible to foresee, they are nonetheless explained away after the fact, as though they were inevitable all along. This international bestseller argues that rather than trying to predict everything, we should learn to embrace and exploit uncertainty.

‘Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide … I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person’ Will Self,
Independent on Sunday

ISBN 13: 9780141034591

Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Author(s) Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Format Paperback / softback
ISBN 13 9780141034591
Pages 480
ISBN 10 0141034599
Publisher Penguin
Weight 348 g
Publication Date 28-02-2008
Dewey 191
Categories , ,