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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

ISBN 13: 9780141034591


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The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

‘Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide … I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person’ Will Self, Independent on Sunday

‘He leaps like some superhero of the mind’ Boyd Tonkin, Independent

ISBN 13: 9780141034591

Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Author(s) Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Format Paperback / softback
ISBN 13 9780141034591
Pages 480
ISBN 10 0141034599
Publisher Penguin
Weight 348 g
Publication Date 28-02-2008
Dewey 191
Categories , ,